2009 NFL Betting Odds

NFL betting odds are a complex equation of matchup merit and public perception, with the ultimate goal being that the online NFL betting odds will either attract equal betting action to both sides of the matchup or trap the public into taking the wrong side of the matchup.

NFL betting odds are not always what they appear. Where so many online NFL betting gamblers go wrong is that they think that the NFL betting lines are set based on the pure merits of what the oddsmakers think of the matchup. In reality, that is not always true.

Oftentimes the wrong team may be favored in a matchup on the NFL betting boards, not because the oddsmakers made a mistake but because the online NFL betting odds fans perceive the favored team to be better than their opponent. This also means that over/under total numbers posted on the NFL betting boards are often too low or too high as again, they are set on public perception.

So when you hear or read a commentator say something like, “the experts think” or “Las Vegas thinks” that is simply not the case. Again, that line is set based not on what the “experts” think are the merits of the matchups but instead is entirely driven by what the NFL betting oddsmakers think that the public will do with their wagers.

With this in mind, the NFL betting gambler must learn to differentiate between that public perception and the true merits of the matchup. The difference between the two reveals the value on the online NFL betting board. It is not always easy to do but if you listen to the media for any length of time you will be able to figure out who the public likes.

The best way for an NFL betting gambler to ascertain the value of a play is to learn to think like an oddsmaker rather than a handicapper or a gambler. Handicappers and gamblers look at NFL betting from a field-view, while oddsmakers look at matchups from a pure gambling perspective. Ultimately, if you are an NFL betting gambler, you want to be an expert on the line.

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